Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.