Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.