Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.