Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 58.39%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 20.91% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.