Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 55.59%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.