Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 4

Apr 24, 2023 at 6pm UK

Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 0
AIK

Johansson (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and AIK Fotboll.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varnamo

All competitions

Last Game: Norrkoping 2-1 Varnamo
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

AIK Fotboll

All competitions

Last Game: AIK 2-0 Hammarby
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	AIK Fotboll
31.73% ( -0.35)	25.79% ( 0.17)	42.48% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 53.9% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85% (

-0.81)

50.15% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89% (

-0.73)

72.11% (

0.73)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

-0.64)

29.59% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

-0.78)

65.62% (

0.78)

AIK Fotboll Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

-0.26)

23.45% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

-0.38)

57.46% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 31.73%

AIK Fotboll 42.48%

Draw 25.79%

Varnamo	Draw	AIK Fotboll
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.73%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.48%