Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
Jun 4, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Studenternas IP

Sirius
2 - 0
Varnamo

Bjarnason (31'), Matthews (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sirius

All competitions
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Sirius
Saturday, May 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Hammarby 0-2 Varnamo
Monday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawVarnamo
45.51% (-0.126 -0.13)25.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)29.44% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)47.97% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)70.15% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)21.11% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-0.103 -0.1)53.94% (0.103 0.1)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (0.062000000000012 0.06)30.07% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (0.079000000000001 0.08)66.2% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sirius 45.51%
    Varnamo 29.44%
    Draw 25.05%
SiriusDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.44%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
gameweek 22
Sirius
2-3
Varnamo
Voelkerling-Persson (47'), Matthews (70')
Magashy (37'), Antonsson (42'), Zeljkovic (54')
Apr 11, 2022 6pm
gameweek 2
Varnamo
0-0
Sirius

Tihi (88')

Ssewankambo (6'), Shabani (57'), Sylisufaj (90+2')