Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 7

May 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

Studenternas IP

Sirius
3 - 4
Elfsborg

Bjarnason (32'), Alsanti (45+2'), Heier (55')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Aron Gudjohnsen (18'), Mathisen (52' og.), Cooper Love (87'), Larsson (89')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Elfsborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sirius

All competitions

Last Game: Kalmar 2-2 Sirius
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Elfsborg

All competitions

Last Game: Elfsborg 6-1 Halmstad
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	Elfsborg
21.96% ( 0.03)	22.85% ( 0.14)	55.2% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 55.13% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.39% (

-0.57)

44.61% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

-0.55)

66.97% (

0.55)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

-0.29)

34.34% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96% (

-0.31)

71.04% (

0.31)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

-0.26)

16.03% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.62% (

-0.48)

45.38% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Sirius 21.96%

Elfsborg 55.19%

Draw 22.84%

Sirius	Draw	Elfsborg
1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.96%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.19%