Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.