Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.