Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.