Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 76.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 7.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.96%) and 3-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.