Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 2
Djurgarden

Engvall (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schuller (69'), Berg (77' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Djurgardens IF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Degerfors 0-2 Varnamo
Saturday, July 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 2-0 Varbergs
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawDjurgardens IF
26.6% (-0.023 -0.02)27.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.09% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)57.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (0.017000000000003 0.02)78.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)37.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)59.44% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 26.6%
    Djurgardens IF 46.3%
    Draw 27.09%
VarnamoDrawDjurgardens IF
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.6%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 12.91%
0-2 @ 8.99% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.3%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Djurgarden

Varnamo
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Djurgardens IF
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Varnamo
0-0
Djurgarden
Edvardsson (90+4')
Jul 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Djurgarden
5-0
Varnamo
Radetinac (15'), Eriksson (30', 67'), Banda (52'), Edvardsen (90+1')