Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13

Jul 1, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stora Valla

Degerfors
0 - 2
Varnamo

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Degerfors and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Degerfors

All competitions

Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Varnamo

All competitions

Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Degerfors	Draw	Varnamo
39.98% ( -6.52)	26.3% ( 1.03)	33.72% ( 5.49)

Both teams to score 52.88% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.26% (

-2.17)

51.74% (

2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.48% (

-1.92)

73.51% (

1.92)

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-4.11)

25.44% (

4.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73% (

-5.98)

60.26% (

5.97)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

2.69)

29.07% (

-2.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

3.2)

64.99% (

-3.21)

Score Analysis

Degerfors 39.97%

Varnamo 33.72%

Draw 26.29%

Degerfors	Draw	Varnamo
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -1.16) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.87) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -1) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.51) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.97%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1.19) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.55) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.62) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.72%