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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Kalmar
2 - 1
Degerfors
Girmai (10'), Hummet (14')
Girmai (43'), Shamoun (90+3'), Shamoun (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Campos (30')
Lindgren (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Degerfors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AIK 1-1 Kalmar
Sunday, June 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Degerfors
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Kalmar 3-0 Degerfors

Given that struggling Degerfors have conceded 17 goals in their last three away games, all the signs point towards a comfortable win for Kalmar, who look set to pick up their third victory in four matches without any problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 82.21%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Degerfors win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawDegerfors
82.21% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3) 11.88% (0.186 0.19) 5.91% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.97% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)32.03% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.4% (-0.508 -0.51)53.6% (0.50899999999999 0.51)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.19% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)5.8% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.68% (-0.398 -0.4)22.32% (0.398 0.4)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.12% (0.040999999999997 0.04)51.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.07% (0.023000000000001 0.02)85.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 82.2%
    Degerfors 5.91%
    Draw 11.88%
KalmarDrawDegerfors
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 11.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 8.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
7-0 @ 0.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 82.2%
1-1 @ 5.62% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.63% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 11.88%
0-1 @ 1.98% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 1.85% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 5.91%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Degerfors

Kalmar
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Degerfors
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 2pm
gameweek 16
Degerfors
2-1
Kalmar
Orqvist (6'), Vukojevic (63')
Carlen (74'), Whiteman (90+5')
Berg (45')
Romarinho (26'), Skrabb (68'), Girmai (76')
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Kalmar
2-0
Degerfors
Berg (6'), Kristjan Olafsson (85')
Jansson (10')

Durdic (15'), Lindell (74')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Kalmar
4-1
Degerfors
Berg (20' pen., 76'), Jansson (73'), Ring (83')
Ring (53')
Edvardsen (82')
Lindell (4'), Ekroth (19'), Gravius (42'), Durdic (59'), Edvardsen (59')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
gameweek 2
Degerfors
0-1
Kalmar
Berg (40' pen.)
Granath (19'), Carlen (47'), Sabetkar (49'), Tamimi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30204662273564
2ElfsborgElfsborg30204659263364
3HackenHacken30183969393057
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30155104136550
5Varnamo30143133734345
6KalmarKalmar30136113540-545
7HammarbyHammarby30111184139244
8SiriusSirius30126125144742
9IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping30125134545041
10Mjallby AIF30125133234-241
11AIK FotbollAIK3099123438-436
12Halmstads BKHalmstad3099123044-1436
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30810123337-434
14BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30103174053-1333
15Degerfors3075183062-3226
16Varbergs BoISVarbergs3036212667-4115

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