Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
2 - 1
Degerfors

Girmai (10'), Hummet (14')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Campos (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Degerfors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: AIK 1-1 Kalmar
Sunday, June 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Degerfors

All competitions
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Degerfors
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 82.21%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Degerfors win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawDegerfors
82.21% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)11.88% (0.186 0.19)5.91% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.97% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)32.03% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.4% (-0.508 -0.51)53.6% (0.50899999999999 0.51)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.19% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)5.8% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.68% (-0.398 -0.4)22.32% (0.398 0.4)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.12% (0.040999999999997 0.04)51.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.07% (0.023000000000001 0.02)85.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 82.2%
    Degerfors 5.91%
    Draw 11.88%
KalmarDrawDegerfors
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 11.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 8.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
7-0 @ 0.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 82.2%
1-1 @ 5.62% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.63% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 11.88%
0-1 @ 1.98% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 1.85% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 5.91%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Degerfors

Kalmar
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Degerfors
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 2pm
gameweek 16
Degerfors
2-1
Kalmar
Orqvist (6'), Vukojevic (63')
Carlen (74'), Whiteman (90+5')
Berg (45')
Romarinho (26'), Skrabb (68'), Girmai (76')
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Kalmar
2-0
Degerfors
Berg (6'), Kristjan Olafsson (85')
Jansson (10')

Durdic (15'), Lindell (74')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Kalmar
4-1
Degerfors
Berg (20' pen., 76'), Jansson (73'), Ring (83')
Ring (53')
Edvardsen (82')
Lindell (4'), Ekroth (19'), Gravius (42'), Durdic (59'), Edvardsen (59')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
gameweek 2
Degerfors
0-1
Kalmar
Berg (40' pen.)
Granath (19'), Carlen (47'), Sabetkar (49'), Tamimi (90+2')