Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
4 - 2
AIK

Erabi (28'), Besara (58'), Dukanovic (65', 90+1')
Hammar (59'), Dukanovic (78'), Rafferty (90+5'), Strand (90+5'), Rafferty (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Faraj (24'), Dohr Thychosen (77')
Otieno (45+1'), Besirovic (59'), Durmaz (90+6')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and AIK Fotboll.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mjallby AIF 0-3 Hammarby
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 3-0 Varbergs
Monday, August 28 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawAIK Fotboll
44.05% (0.563 0.56)24.35% (-0.165 -0.17)31.6% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.605 0.61)43.82% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (0.58799999999999 0.59)66.21% (-0.593 -0.59)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (0.499 0.5)20.04% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (0.797 0.8)52.25% (-0.802 -0.8)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.042999999999992 0.04)26.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (0.058999999999997 0.06)61.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 44.05%
    AIK Fotboll 31.6%
    Draw 24.35%
HammarbyDrawAIK Fotboll
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.6%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
AIK
2-0
Hammarby
Fesshaie (41', 53')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 20
AIK
2-2
Hammarby
Guidetti (2'), Stefanelli (46')
Ceesay (54')
Besara (37'), Berisha (59')
Jeahze (80'), Fenger (83'), Pinas (90')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Hammarby
3-3
AIK
Ludwigson (32'), Jeahze (40'), Besara (72')
Fenger (63'), Kurtulus (69')
Bahoui (9', 84'), Larsson (63' pen.)
Papagiannopoulos (71'), Janosevic (74'), Bjornstrom (89')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 23
Hammarby
1-0
AIK
Amoo (58')
Swedberg (41'), Magyar (52')
Apr 25, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
AIK
2-0
Hammarby
Stefanelli (43'), Bahoui (77')
Larsson (72'), Papagiannopoulos (81'), Ylatupa (86')

Seljmani (53'), Gudni Fjoluson (60'), Sher (81')