Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
Hammarby	Draw	Elfsborg
39.48% ( 0.47)	24.65% ( -0.11)	35.87% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 58.93% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

0.45)

44.1% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

0.44)

66.48% (

-0.44)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

0.43)

22.28% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

0.65)

55.73% (

-0.65)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

0.01)

24.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51% (

0.01)

58.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hammarby 39.48%

Elfsborg 35.87%

Draw 24.65%

Hammarby	Draw	Elfsborg
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 35.87%