Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hammarby in this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	Hammarby
32.51% ( 0.19)	24.7% ( -0.03)	42.79% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

0.18)

45.09% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

0.17)

67.44% (

-0.17)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

0.2)

26.59% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

0.27)

61.82% (

-0.27)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86%

21.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

53.98% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sirius 32.51%

Hammarby 42.79%

Draw 24.7%

Sirius	Draw	Hammarby
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.51%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.79%