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Tashreeq Matthews
41'
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Jusef Erabi
37'
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Fredrik Hammar
74'
Sirius vs Hammarby - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hammarby in this match.
Result
Sirius
32.51%
▲
(+0.19)
Draw
24.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Hammarby
42.79%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
57.89%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.91%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
45.09%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
32.56%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
67.44%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
16.48%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
83.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5
73.4%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
26.59%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
38.18%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
61.82%
▼
(-0.27)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5
78.86%
Under 0.5
21.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
46.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
53.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Sirius
32.51%
Draw
24.7%
Hammarby
42.79%
Sirius
2-1
@
7.66%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.51%
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.57%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
2-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
Hammarby
1-2
@
8.99%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.79%
0-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.79%
Dennis Widgren
84'