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Sveinn Aron Gudjohnsen
13'
-
Johan Larsson
86'
Elfsborg vs Hammarby - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
Result
Elfsborg
49.96%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
23.89%
▼
(-0.04)
Hammarby
26.14%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
56.49%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.92%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
45.08%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
32.57%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
67.42%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
16.48%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
83.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5
81.89%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
18.11%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
50.94%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
49.06%
▼
(-0.16)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5
68.98%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
31.01%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
32.67%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
67.32%
▲
(+0.38)
Score analysis
Elfsborg
49.96%
Draw
23.88%
Hammarby
26.14%
Elfsborg
2-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 49.96%
1-0 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 49.96%
Draw
1-1
@
11.23%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.88%
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.88%
Hammarby
1-2
@
6.58%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.14%
Emmanuel Boateng
23'
Simon Strand
78'