Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Friends Arena

AIK
1 - 2
Elfsborg

Magashy (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Okkels (2'), Ondrejka (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between AIK Fotboll and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AIK 1-1 Kalmar
Sunday, June 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-1 Djurgarden
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
AIK FotbollDrawElfsborg
40.51% (-3.137 -3.14)26.55% (0.549 0.55)32.93% (2.585 2.59)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.748 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (-1.417 -1.42)52.95% (1.415 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (-1.222 -1.22)74.55% (1.22 1.22)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-2.227 -2.23)25.7% (2.223 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-3.121 -3.12)60.62% (3.118 3.12)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (1.052 1.05)30.19% (-1.054 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (1.243 1.24)66.34% (-1.246 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    AIK Fotboll 40.51%
    Elfsborg 32.93%
    Draw 26.54%
AIK FotbollDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.383 -0.38)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.54 -0.54)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.51%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.424 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.759 0.76)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.601 0.6)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.229 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.297 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.93%

How you voted: AIK vs Elfsborg

AIK Fotboll
15.0%
Draw
10.0%
Elfsborg
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
AIK
0-1
Elfsborg
Ondrejka (79')
Jul 10, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Elfsborg
2-2
AIK
Henriksson (25'), Stefanelli (71' og.)
Romer (42')
Nov 29, 2021 6pm
gameweek 29
Elfsborg
2-4
AIK
Alm (12', 41')
Alm (43'), Aron Gudjohnsen (90+4')
Bahoui (27'), Rogic (54'), Stefanelli (56', 77')
Papagiannopoulos (82')
May 2, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 4
AIK
1-0
Elfsborg
Larsson (49' pen.)

Gojani (16'), Ndione (44')
Dec 6, 2020 1.30pm
gameweek 30
Elfsborg
2-2
AIK
Olsson (17'), Alm (22')
Frick (66')
Bahoui (59'), Lustig (70')
Papagiannopoulos (50'), Lustig (74'), Goitom (86'), Larsson (90+3')