Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Elfsborg
37.27% ( 0.69)	26.76% ( -0.08)	35.97% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

0.3)

53.39% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

0.25)

74.93% (

-0.26)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

0.55)

27.72% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

0.7)

63.28% (

-0.71)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

-0.23)

28.49% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0.28)

64.26% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 37.27%

Elfsborg 35.97%

Draw 26.76%

Kalmar	Draw	Elfsborg
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.27%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.97%