Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
3 - 1
Kalmar

Erabi (11'), Dukanovic (32'), Tekie (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Shamoun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Kalmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hammarby

All competitions
Last Game: Sirius 1-2 Hammarby
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 0-4 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawKalmar
55.49% (0.325 0.32)23.42% (-0.136 -0.14)21.09% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.34399999999999 0.34)48.09% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.314 0.31)70.25% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.241 0.24)17.18% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.424 0.42)47.43% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)37.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 55.48%
    Kalmar 21.09%
    Draw 23.42%
HammarbyDrawKalmar
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.09%

How you voted: Hammarby vs Kalmar

Hammarby
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Kalmar
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hammarby
4-2
Kalmar
Ludwigson (3', 58'), Jeahze (63'), Lindahl (81' og.)
Nanasi (53'), Berg (70')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Kalmar
2-0
Hammarby
Shamoun (35', 38')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 30
Hammarby
5-3
Kalmar
Seljmani (6', 20', 23', 50'), Matko (76')
Jansson (33'), Ring (56'), Israelsson (73')
Ring (10'), Sachpekidis (71')
May 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Kalmar
2-1
Hammarby
Romarinho (39'), Sjostedt (68')
Romarinho (90+3')
Ludwigson (7')
Sandberg (11'), Magyar (82'), Paulinho (90+1')
Aug 30, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hammarby
3-3
Kalmar
Magyar (28'), Johannsson (47', 60' pen.)
Ludwigson (33')
Johansson (34' pen.), Ingelsson (37'), Ahl-Holmstrom (82')
Aliti (54'), Nouri (78'), Ahl-Holmstrom (87')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!