Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Sirius
65.38% ( -0.2)	19.43% ( -0.27)	15.19% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

2.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.99% (

2.26)

40% (

-2.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.63% (

2.3)

62.37% (

-2.29)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.53% (

0.61)

11.47% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.7% (

1.3)

36.3% (

-1.29)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.91% (

2.05)

39.09% (

-2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.19% (

1.87)

75.81% (

-1.87)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 65.38%

Sirius 15.19%

Draw 19.43%

Elfsborg	Draw	Sirius
2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.78) 3-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.99% Total : 65.38%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.48) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.43%	1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.19%