Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.