Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.