Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.