Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.