Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Varberg Energi Arena

Varbergs
1 - 2
AIK

Dahlstrom (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Papagiannopoulos (37'), Dohr Thychosen (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and AIK Fotboll, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Goteborg 1-2 Varbergs
Monday, July 10 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

AIK Fotboll

All competitions
Last Game: AIK 1-2 Hacken
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawAIK Fotboll
16.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)23.34% (0.157 0.16)59.9% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.35% (-0.582 -0.58)53.65% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (-0.493 -0.49)75.14% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.348 -0.35)45.31% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.274 -0.27)81.18% (0.276 0.28)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.265 -0.27)17.6% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (-0.465 -0.46)48.18% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 16.76%
    AIK Fotboll 59.89%
    Draw 23.34%
Varbergs BoISDrawAIK Fotboll
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 4.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 16.76%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 13.85% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 12.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.52% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.89%

How you voted: Varbergs vs AIK

Varbergs BoIS
29.4%
Draw
29.4%
AIK Fotboll
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 22
Varbergs
2-0
AIK
Tranberg (78'), Sisse (80')
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
AIK
1-0
Varbergs
Larsson (27' pen.)

Stanisic (28'), Birkfeldt (45+1')
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Varbergs
0-1
AIK

Le Roux (32'), Matthews (50'), Tranberg (56'), Alfonsi (85')
Bahoui (62')
Larsson (68'), Milosevic (90+2')
Jul 10, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
AIK
2-1
Varbergs
Radulovic (37'), Rogic (77')
Kahl (58')
Matthews (23')
Simovic (17'), Winbo (40')
Nov 2, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 26
AIK
1-0
Varbergs
Goitom (58')
Janosevic (64')

Norlin (54')