Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Varberg Energi Arena

Varbergs
1 - 2
Halmstad

Alfonsi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Granat (82' pen.), Stanisic (90' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Halmstads BK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varbergs 0-2 Hacken
Monday, June 5 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Halmstad 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, June 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halmstads BK win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Halmstads BK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Halmstads BK in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Halmstads BK.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawHalmstads BK
33.25% (0.21 0.21)26.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)40.04% (-0.185 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.5% (0.155 0.16)53.49% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98% (0.13 0.13)75.01% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.215 0.22)30.25% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (0.257 0.26)66.42% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)
Halmstads BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)26.21% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)61.3% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 33.25%
    Halmstads BK 40.03%
    Draw 26.7%
Varbergs BoISDrawHalmstads BK
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.25%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.03%

How you voted: Varbergs vs Halmstad

Varbergs BoIS
17.9%
Draw
10.7%
Halmstads BK
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 17
Varbergs
1-0
Halmstad
Lindner (68')
Moon (64'), Zackrisson (76')
Jul 19, 2021 6pm
gameweek 11
Halmstad
1-1
Varbergs
Kroon (80')
Kroon (76'), Nilsson (90+7')
Boakye (90+1')
Moon (64')
Tranberg (31'), Zackrisson (51'), Le Roux (55'), Stanisic (90+8')
Le Roux (90+7')