Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Elfsborg in this match.