Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 79.46%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.