Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 28
Oct 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs
1 - 1
Degerfors

Karlsson (36')
Tranberg (23'), Krasniqi (87'), Lushaku (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bolin (45+1')
Gravius (30'), Pavlovic (87')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Degerfors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Varbergs
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 1-3 Kalmar
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawDegerfors
35.42% (-0.012 -0.01)25.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)38.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (-0.184 -0.18)49.5% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (-0.166 -0.17)71.53% (0.167 0.17)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)26.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.124 -0.12)62.29% (0.125 0.13)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.101 -0.1)25.08% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.138 -0.14)59.76% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 35.42%
    Degerfors 38.74%
    Draw 25.82%
Varbergs BoISDrawDegerfors
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.76% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.74%

Head to Head
May 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 10
Degerfors
1-1
Varbergs
Bouzaiene (63')
Korac (13'), Orqvist (87')
Gravius (90+2')
Korac (11' og.)
Frigell Jansson (15'), Lushaku (41'), Sainte (72'), Persson (83'), Tranberg (84'), Alfonsi (90+2')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Degerfors
1-1
Varbergs
Campos (75')
Gravius (45+1'), Gyau (45+4'), Salmon (47'), Ohlsson (60'), Campos (77')
Simovic (61' pen.)
Stanisic (36'), Le Roux (64')
May 22, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Varbergs
2-1
Degerfors
Mensah (33'), Winbo (90+3')
Mensah (59'), Stanisic (69'), Winbo (85')
Matthews (54')
Campos (57')
Whiteman (69'), Saidi (85')
Ohlsson (90')
Oct 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Varbergs
0-0
Degerfors
Edvardsen (31'), Sabetkar (80'), Salmon (90+5')
Edvardsen (39')
Jul 31, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
Degerfors
1-1
Varbergs
Edvardsen (58')
Gravius (61')
Matthews (77')
Ejupi (84'), Matthews (86')