Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 27
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
5 - 0
Varbergs

Nanasi (35'), Sverrisson (61' og.), Rosengren (66'), Ali (76'), Vecchia (90+2')
Pena (43'), Olsson (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Silverholt (21')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 1-0 Malmo
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Varbergs 0-1 Djurgarden
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawVarbergs BoIS
86.79% (0.064999999999998 0.06)9.13% (-0.039900000000001 -0.04)4.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.54% (0.10000000000001 0.1)26.46% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.2% (0.128 0.13)46.8% (-0.126 -0.13)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)4.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.04% (0.084999999999994 0.08)16.96% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.09% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)87.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 86.78%
    Varbergs BoIS 4.09%
    Draw 9.13%
MalmoDrawVarbergs BoIS
3-0 @ 12.03%
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 9.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.21% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.94% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.82% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 3.32% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-1 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
7-1 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 86.78%
1-1 @ 4.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 9.13%
0-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 4.09%

How you voted: Malmo vs Varbergs

Malmo
100%
Draw
0.0%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Varbergs
0-6
Malmo
Larsson (3'), Rieks (5'), Nanasi (11', 49', 83'), Ali (59')
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Varbergs
2-5
Malmo
Birkfeldt (54'), Simovic (73')
Toivonen (44', 52', 55'), Rieks (64'), Buya Turay (88')
Jul 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Malmo
3-0
Varbergs
Inge Berget (45+6' pen.), Christiansen (64'), Birmancevic (87')
Birmancevic (70')

Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Varbergs
1-1
Malmo
Simovic (29')
Matthews (21'), Ejupi (32'), Stanisic (55'), Carlos de Brito (78'), Johansson (84')
Birmancevic (43')
Pena (53'), Nalic (90+3'), Abubakari (90+5')
May 9, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Malmo
3-2
Varbergs
Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')
Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')