Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 24
Sep 24, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Paskbergsvallen
Hammarby

Varbergs
0 - 1
Hammarby


Tranberg (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erabi (80')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Hammarby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Sirius 7-0 Varbergs
Saturday, September 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Hammarby

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 1-3 Malmo
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hammarby in this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawHammarby
16.94% (1.922 1.92)21.51% (1.524 1.52)61.55% (-3.444 -3.44)
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.644 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (-3.082 -3.08)45.99% (3.081 3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (-2.985 -2.99)68.3% (2.985 2.99)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49% (0.615 0.62)40.51% (-0.615 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88% (0.55 0.55)77.11% (-0.55 -0.55)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-1.989 -1.99)14.42% (1.99 1.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (-3.998 -4)42.34% (3.999 4)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 16.94%
    Hammarby 61.54%
    Draw 21.51%
Varbergs BoISDrawHammarby
1-0 @ 5.28% (0.736 0.74)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.411 0.41)
2-0 @ 2.39% (0.367 0.37)
3-1 @ 1.39% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.94%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.75 0.75)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 11.31% (0.66 0.66)
0-2 @ 10.95% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.07% (-0.652 -0.65)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.474 -0.47)
0-4 @ 3.42% (-0.603 -0.6)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.484 -0.48)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.54%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Hammarby
2-0
Varbergs
Dahlstrom (39' og.), Dukanovic (48')
Oct 10, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 25
Hammarby
5-1
Varbergs
Besara (10'), Nilsson (20'), Bojanic (43', 47'), Andersen (90+3')
Alfonsi (62')
Jul 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 15
Varbergs
0-3
Hammarby

Sverrisson (12'), Tranberg (52'), Lushaku (61')
Ludwigson (16', 20'), Besara (65')
Andersen (73')
Sep 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 19
Hammarby
1-0
Varbergs
Amoo (45+3')
Magyar (71'), Seljmani (73')

Matthews (18'), Zackrisson (30'), Ejupi (36'), Lindner (45+3'), Lukic (45+4'), Mensah (68')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Varbergs
1-3
Hammarby
Morfelt (34')
Tranberg (26'), Fofana (48'), Carlos de Brito (76'), Zackrisson (79')
Outtara (67'), Fenger (74'), Amoo (90+3')
Outtara (34'), Accam (38'), Sher (55'), Sandberg (70')