Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hammarby in this match.