Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Mjallby AIF
30.57% ( 0.68)	27.52% ( 0.24)	41.91% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 48.12% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.66% (

-0.63)

57.33% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

-0.5)

78.16% (

0.51)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

0.18)

34.09% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

0.19)

70.78% (

-0.19)

Mjallby AIF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-0.78)

26.98% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

-1.04)

62.33% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Varbergs BoIS 30.57%

Mjallby AIF 41.91%

Draw 27.51%

Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Mjallby AIF
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.57%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.91%