Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 0
Varbergs

Skrabb (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stanisic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varbergs BoIS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Hammarby 3-1 Kalmar
Sunday, July 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Varbergs 1-2 AIK
Monday, July 17 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kalmar.

Result
KalmarDrawVarbergs BoIS
62.94% (-0.478 -0.48)21.09% (0.212 0.21)15.97% (0.265 0.26)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (-0.421 -0.42)45.91% (0.422 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (-0.402 -0.4)68.22% (0.401 0.4)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)13.96% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.55% (-0.552 -0.55)41.46% (0.552 0.55)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (0.091999999999999 0.09)41.69% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (0.081999999999997 0.08)78.17% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 62.94%
    Varbergs BoIS 15.97%
    Draw 21.08%
KalmarDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 62.94%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5.09% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Varbergs

Kalmar
84.6%
Draw
0.0%
Varbergs BoIS
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Varbergs
0-0
Kalmar
Sep 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 21
Kalmar
1-0
Varbergs
Nanasi (12')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 2
Varbergs
0-3
Kalmar

Sverrisson (5'), Zackrisson (65'), Lushaku (80'), Matthews (88'), Birkfeldt (90+4')
Girmai (12'), Berg (36'), Skrabb (59')
Oct 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Kalmar
2-2
Varbergs
Berg (13' pen.), Romarinho (31')
Israelsson (43')
Liljeback (32'), Moon (44')
Winbo (38'), Johansson (57')
Jul 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 9
Varbergs
1-1
Kalmar
Matthews (76')
Fofana (15'), Tranberg (42'), Zackrisson (44'), Liljeback (86'), Ejupi (90+1'), Alfonsi (90+5')
Berg (70')
Ring (20'), Saetra (36'), Ring (84'), Nouri (89')
rhs 2.0


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