Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.