Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
Hammarby	Draw	Elfsborg
37.91% ( -0.58)	26% ( 0.06)	36.09% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

-0.24)

50.21% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

-0.21)

72.17% (

0.21)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-0.43)

25.86% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16% (

-0.59)

60.84% (

0.58)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

0.19)

26.9% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.78% (

0.24)

62.22% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Hammarby 37.91%

Elfsborg 36.09%

Draw 26%

Hammarby	Draw	Elfsborg
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.91%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.09%