Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.