Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.