Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 42%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.