Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.