Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
2 - 1
Norrkoping

Zeljkovic (52', 70')
Zeljkovic (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and IFK Norrkoping.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-3 Varnamo
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-0 Kalmar
Saturday, September 30 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
VarnamoDrawIFK Norrkoping
34.54% (0.45099999999999 0.45)25.47% (0.173 0.17)39.99% (-0.626 -0.63)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.499 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (-0.687 -0.69)48.03% (0.686 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (-0.634 -0.63)70.19% (0.633 0.63)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)26.77% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)62.05% (0.073 0.07)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.62 -0.62)23.76% (0.62 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.901 -0.9)57.91% (0.901 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 34.54%
    IFK Norrkoping 39.99%
    Draw 25.46%
VarnamoDrawIFK Norrkoping
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.223 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34.54%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.99%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Norrkoping
2-1
Varnamo
Sigurdsson (15', 47')
Lund (45+3' og.)
Oct 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Varnamo
1-1
Norrkoping
Antonsson (89')
Shabani (14')
May 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 6
Norrkoping
2-0
Varnamo
Levi (55'), Nyman (73')
Ekpolo (58'), Carlos de Brito (76'), Nyman (88')