Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for IFK Norrkoping in this match.