Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 25

Oct 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Strandvallen

Mjallby AIF
2 - 3
Varnamo

Fenger (8'), Baldvin Nokkvason (38')
Petersson (36'), Pettersson (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zeljkovic (17'), Johansson (74' pen.), Engvall (87')
Grozdanic (2'), Eriksson (23')
Grozdanic (41')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Mjallby AIF and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mjallby AIF

All competitions

Last Game: Mjallby AIF 0-1 Goteborg
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Varnamo

All competitions

Last Game: Varnamo 0-1 Sirius
Monday, September 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.

Result
Mjallby AIF	Draw	Varnamo
30.67% ( 0.16)	26.11% ( 0.15)	43.22% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.14% (

-0.53)

51.86% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

-0.46)

73.61% (

0.46)

Mjallby AIF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.82% (

-0.15)

31.18% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.48% (

-0.18)

67.52% (

0.19)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

-0.38)

23.83% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

-0.54)

58.01% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Mjallby AIF 30.67%

Varnamo 43.21%

Draw 26.11%

Mjallby AIF	Draw	Varnamo
1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.67%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.21%