Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 70.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.