Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 11
May 24, 2024 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Hugo Bolin 4' goal
  • Erik Botheim 7' goal
  • Erik Botheim 33' goal
  • Erik Botheim 40' goal
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 55' goal

Malmo vs Kalmar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
May 20, 2024 6.10pm
Hacken 2 - 2 Malmo
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Isaac Kiese Thelin

Kalmar

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
May 19, 2024 3.30pm
Varnamo 0 - 2 Kalmar
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Dino Islamovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result

Malmo 71.89% (+0.01)
Draw 16.92%
Kalmar 11.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.99% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 38.01% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 39.73% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 60.27% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.92% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.07% (+0.01)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 90.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.29% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 68.62%
Under 1.5 31.38% (+0.01)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5 56.11% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.89% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.03% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Malmo 71.89%
Draw 16.93%
Kalmar 11.19%
Malmo
2-0 @ 11.51%
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 9.12% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.51%
4-0 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 71.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.98%
0-0 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 16.93%
Kalmar
0-1 @ 3.36%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 11.19%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Guldfageln Arena
  • Henrik Jensen 0' yellowcard
  • Simon Skrabb 90'+5' goal
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 1
Apr 1, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 67' goal
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 20
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moustafa Zeidan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Felix Beijmo 51' yellowcard
  • Dennis Hadzikadunic 83' yellowcard
  • goal Lasse Nielsen 90'+2' (OG)
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 1
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Lasse Nielsen 16'
  • yellowcard Erdal Rakip 33'
  • goal Isaac Kiese Thelin 76'
  • yellowcard Ola Toivonen 87'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 29
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Niklas Moisander 76'
  • goal Jo Inge Berget 83'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 7
May 17, 2021 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Erdal Rakip 9' goal
  • Antonio-Mirko Colak 32' goal
  • Pavle Vagic 36' yellowcard
  • Antonio-Mirko Colak 57' goal
  • Jonas Knudsen 64' yellowcard
  • Lasse Nielsen 75' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Bergqvist 54'
  • yellowcard Victor Backman 89'