Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
5 - 0
Kalmar

Bolin (4'), Botheim (7', 33', 40'), Kiese Thelin (55')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Kalmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Hacken 2-2 Malmo
Monday, May 20 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 0-2 Kalmar
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawKalmar
71.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.92%11.19%
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.62%31.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)43.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 71.89%
    Kalmar 11.19%
    Draw 16.93%
MalmoDrawKalmar
2-0 @ 11.51%
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.51%
4-0 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 71.89%
1-1 @ 7.98%
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 16.93%
0-1 @ 3.36%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Malmo vs Kalmar

Malmo
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Kalmar
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 26
Kalmar
1-0
Malmo
Skrabb (90+5')
Jensen (0')
Apr 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Malmo
1-0
Kalmar
Kiese Thelin (67' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
Malmo
0-1
Kalmar

Zeidan (45+3'), Beijmo (51'), Hadzikadunic (83')
Nielsen (90+2' og.)
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Kalmar
0-1
Malmo
Kiese Thelin (76')
Nielsen (16'), Rakip (33'), Toivonen (87')
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Kalmar
0-1
Malmo
Inge Berget (83')
Moisander (76')