Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 5
Apr 25, 2024 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Guldfageln Arena
  • Jacob Trenskow 40' goal
  • Rasmus Sjostedt 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lars Saetra 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jonas Lindberg 6'
  • goal Amin Boudri 55'
  • yellowcard Harun Ibrahim 78'
  • goal Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom 87'

Kalmar vs GAIS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Apr 22, 2024 6.00pm
Elfsborg 1 - 2 Kalmar
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Dino Islamovic

GAIS

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Apr 21, 2024 1.00pm
GAIS 2 - 1 Mjallby AIF
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.

Result

Kalmar 36.41% (-0.01)
Draw 24.9% (-0.02)
GAIS 38.68% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.76% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.23% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 32.42% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 67.58% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.38% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.62% (-0.08)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5 75.61% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 24.39% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 41.19% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 58.8% (-0.06)

GAIS Goals

Over 0.5 76.81% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.19% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 42.92% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 57.08% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Kalmar 36.41%
Draw 24.9%
GAIS 38.68%
Kalmar
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 36.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
GAIS
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.68%