Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.