Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 28

Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 3
Varnamo

Hummet (70')
Friedrich (1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zeljkovic (2' pen.), Engvall (52'), Nasstrom (69')
Larsson (39'), Engvall (54')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions

Last Game: Degerfors 1-3 Kalmar
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Varnamo

All competitions

Last Game: Varnamo 3-1 Goteborg
Monday, October 23 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Varnamo
37.38% ( -0.03)	25.61% ( -0.03)	37% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

0.12)

48.45% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

0.11)

70.58% (

-0.11)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.04)

25.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

0.05)

60.12% (

-0.05)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.09)

25.55% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.12)

60.41% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 37.38%

Varnamo 37%

Draw 25.61%

Kalmar	Draw	Varnamo
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.38%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37%