Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 27

Oct 23, 2023 at 6pm UK

Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
3 - 1
Goteborg

Engvall (52'), Johansson (63'), Ademi (77')
Eriksson (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Salomonsson (19')
Svensson (26'), Kahed (33')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and IFK Goteborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varnamo

All competitions

Last Game: Varnamo 2-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

IFK Goteborg

All competitions

Last Game: Goteborg 0-1 Sirius
Saturday, October 7 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	IFK Goteborg
37.37% ( 0.43)	26.15% ( -0.27)	36.48% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.73% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

1.16)

50.81% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

1.01)

72.7% (

-1.01)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56% (

0.79)

26.44% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

1.05)

61.61% (

-1.05)

IFK Goteborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.45)

26.95% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

0.59)

62.29% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 37.37%

IFK Goteborg 36.48%

Draw 26.14%

Varnamo	Draw	IFK Goteborg
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.48%