Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.