Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.